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NBA DFS Projections

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Run details+

Model: DraftKings Stat Gap Model DFS projection

Projection generated: Coming soon

Projections by: Jacob Bellinger

Primary inputs: reconciliation between the Bottom Up and Top Down model stats.

NBA DraftKings

DraftKings player projection table

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Behind the projections

Jacob Bellinger

Jacob Bellinger

Model creator
Explore the methodology →

Stat Gap

Compares player-first stat lines with team totals, then spreads any scoring or stat gap across the rotation.

Top Down

Projects team pace and production first, then distributes it by each player’s minutes, role, usage, and historical share.

Bottom Up

Projects each player’s per-minute production across key stats, then scales it to expected playing time and role.

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