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NFL DFS Projections

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Run details+

Model: DraftKings Stat Gap Model DFS projection

Projection generated: Coming soon

Projections by: Jacob Bellinger

Primary inputs: reconciliation of player passing, rushing, and receiving projections with expected team production.

NFL DraftKings

DraftKings player projection table

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Behind the projections

Jacob Bellinger

Jacob Bellinger

Model creator
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Stat Gap

Compares player-first projections with team totals, then reconciles passing, rushing, and receiving gaps across players based on expected snaps and workload.

Top Down

Projects team plays, passing and rushing production, and scoring first, then distributes that output by each player’s role, snap share, carries, and targets.

Bottom Up

Starts with each player’s efficiency per pass attempt, carry, or target, then scales it to expected passing attempts, rushing attempts, and receiving opportunities.

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